The Leadership Letter

Real correspondence from the people running real companies — and what it reveals about leadership.

When a Rival Bids, Your Build Plan Becomes a Buy Decision

A build-it-yourself plan is only valid until a competitor's checkbook makes the timeline irrelevant.

Dear Board Members: I wanted to give you a heads-up about EMG's decision to enter the process to acquire DoubleClick, a leading online ad serving company owned by the private equity firms of Hellman & Friedman and JMI Equity (the transaction is codenamed Project Liberty). As some of you know, we have been interested in this company for some time, but have been pursuing a 'build-it-ourselves' strategy. Our interest became more acute after learning that Microsoft has already made a serious offer. The team believes that this is an important transaction for us, for both offensive and defensive reasons.

We have heard from reliable sources that Microsoft has made a bid in the $1.88 to $2.08 range. This weekend we plan to make a competitive bid by means of a non-binding term sheet/indication of interest.

Google's Rationale for Acquiring DoubleClick: Own DoubleClick's customer footprint to accelerate time to market for our own advertiser and publisher ad serving products. Acquisition of DoubleClick by Microsoft would make it very challenging for us to win customers for our own advertiser ad server, which would impair our opportunities in the brand ad market.

Microsoft's Potential Rationale for Acquiring DoubleClick: Access remnant inventory from DoubleClick's publisher ad server customer base to quickly scale its ad network. Use DoubleClick's advertiser ad server position to harm Yahoo!'s business, driving down its valuation ahead of a potential acquisition.

1. Core Message

David Drummond tells Google's board that the company is switching from building its own ad serving stack to bidding for DoubleClick. The trigger is Microsoft's reported $1.88B–$2.08B offer. Drummond frames the move as both offensive (accelerate time to market, own DoubleClick's customer footprint) and defensive (stop Microsoft from controlling that footprint and damaging Google's brand ad ambitions).

2. What the Executive Is Really Thinking

Google had time on its side while DoubleClick was sitting with private equity owners (Hellman & Friedman, JMI Equity). That changed the moment Microsoft made a serious bid. Drummond's note shows three layers of thinking: - A build plan is fine until a rival can buy the same outcome faster. - DoubleClick's value is not just its software — it is the installed base of advertisers and publishers already plugged in. - If Microsoft owns that base, Google's own ad server becomes much harder to sell into brand advertisers. The deal is partly about denying a competitor an asset.

He also reads Microsoft's motives carefully: scale its ad network using DoubleClick's remnant inventory, and use the advertiser ad server position to weaken Yahoo! ahead of a possible acquisition. So Drummond is not just buying a company — he is reacting to a chess move two squares ahead.

3. Key Management Lessons

Strategy is a function of what competitors do, not just what you want

What it means

Google had a perfectly reasonable internal plan. A single piece of news — Microsoft's bid — invalidated it.

Why it matters

Plans built in isolation tend to assume the world stays still. It rarely does.

MBA Perspective

This is a clean Build vs Buy reversal. The build option was preferred while the asset was passively owned by PE. Once a strategic acquirer entered, the cost of building rose sharply because the customer footprint could be locked up by a rival.

Real-world application

When you choose to build instead of buy, write down the conditions that would flip your decision. "If a competitor bids for X, we move." That way you react in days, not quarters.

Acquire the customer base, not just the product

What it means

Drummond's first stated reason is to "own DoubleClick's customer footprint to accelerate time to market." The software is replicable. The relationships and integrations are not.

Why it matters

In B2B markets, distribution and installed base are usually the moat, not the code.

MBA Perspective

Switching Costs. Advertisers and publishers wired into DoubleClick's ad server would not rip and replace easily. Buying the company buys the friction working in your favor.

Real-world application

When evaluating a target, separate the price of the technology from the price of the customer relationships. Ask: how long and how expensive would it be to win these accounts cold?

Defensive acquisitions can be worth as much as offensive ones

What it means

Drummond explicitly lists the defensive case: if Microsoft owns DoubleClick, Google's brand ad ambitions get impaired.

Why it matters

The value of an acquisition is not only the cash flow it produces for you. It also includes the damage it prevents a rival from inflicting.

MBA Perspective

Competitive Moats and Market Consolidation. Sometimes you pay a premium to keep a key asset out of an opponent's hands, especially when the asset sits at a control point in the value chain.

Real-world application

When modeling an acquisition, run two scenarios: "we own it" and "our top competitor owns it." The gap between those two outcomes is part of the real price you should be willing to pay.

Read your competitor's strategy, not just their move

What it means

Drummond does not just note Microsoft's bid. He maps out why Microsoft wants the asset — scaling its ad network and weakening Yahoo! before a possible deal.

Why it matters

Knowing why a competitor is moving tells you whether they will keep bidding, walk away, or escalate elsewhere.

MBA Perspective

Porter's Five Forces in motion — specifically rivalry among existing competitors and the threat of a stronger combined entity reshaping bargaining power over advertisers and publishers.

Real-world application

Before reacting to a competitor's action, write out their likely rationale in two or three bullet points. If you cannot, you are reacting blind.

Tell the board early, with the logic, not the drama

What it means

This is a "heads-up" note. It names the codename (Project Liberty), the target, the reported price range, the plan (a non-binding term sheet that weekend), and the reasoning in clean offensive/defensive buckets.

Why it matters

Boards approve deals faster when the logic is pre-loaded. Surprise plus a big check equals resistance.

MBA Perspective

Governance discipline. High-stakes decisions benefit from a board that has already absorbed the strategic frame before they see the price.

Real-world application

When a major move is coming, send a short pre-read days before the formal ask. Lead with what changed, what you propose, and why now.

4. Strategic Analysis (MBA Style)

Competitive Strategy

Google is using an acquisition to compress time and deny a rival a strategic control point. Drummond frames the deal in dual terms — accelerate Google's own ad server roadmap, and block Microsoft from sitting inside the customer base Google needs.

Risk Analysis

The risk Drummond is trying to avoid is structural, not financial. If Microsoft owns DoubleClick, Google's ability to win brand advertiser ad server business is "very challenging." That is a moat being built against Google in real time.

Build vs Buy Analysis

The build path was viable in a world where DoubleClick stayed with passive PE owners. Once Microsoft entered, the buy path dominated because: - Time to market collapses by inheriting customers. - The build option's end-state market may not exist if a rival controls the incumbent. - The asset is binary — only one buyer gets it.

Market Dynamics

The document reveals an online ad industry where ad serving is the plumbing under both search and display, and where a small number of players (Google, Microsoft, Yahoo!, DoubleClick) are jockeying for control of advertiser and publisher relationships. Drummond's read of Microsoft's intent — using DoubleClick to drive down Yahoo!'s valuation — signals that the M&A chessboard extends beyond this one deal.

Long-Term Strategic Implications

If Google wins, it gets the advertiser and publisher footprint to push into brand advertising, complementing its search ad strength. If it loses, Microsoft gains a credible path into display and a lever against Yahoo!, and Google's brand ad strategy gets materially harder. The price range cited ($1.88B–$2.08B) is the cost of avoiding that downside, not just acquiring the upside.

5. Hidden Insights

  • Urgency is competitor-induced. Google had been "interested for some time" but only acted when Microsoft moved. The real catalyst was external.
  • The footprint is the asset. Drummond does not emphasize DoubleClick's technology or team — he emphasizes customers. That is a tell about where he thinks the durable value lives.
  • Three-way thinking. The memo references Microsoft, Yahoo!, and Google in one paragraph. Drummond is modeling a three-player game, not a duel.
  • Optionality on brand advertising. Google was primarily a search ad company. The deal hints at a deliberate expansion into brand/display — a market Google did not yet dominate.
  • Codename discipline. Calling it Project Liberty signals tight information control on a deal where leaks could move the price.
Court Exhibit
United States v. Google LLC (Ad Tech)
1:23-cv-00108 (VAED), Trial Ex. PTX0015 — DOJ public archive
March 23, 2007
Public domain
View the primary source →